RESEARCH PAPER
Prediction of cyber-attacks in air transport using neural networks
More details
Hide details
1
Warsaw University of Technology, Poland
2
Polish Air Force University, Poland
3
Henri Coandă Air Force Academy, Romania
Submission date: 2024-07-09
Final revision date: 2024-07-15
Acceptance date: 2024-07-22
Online publication date: 2024-07-22
Publication date: 2024-07-22
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability 2024;26(4):191476
HIGHLIGHTS
- Prediction cyber-attacks in air transport.
- Application of artificial intelligence tools in air transport.
- Determining the probability of cyber-attacks.
- Safety and reliability in air transport.
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
This article addresses the topic of cyber-attacks in air transport, which is crucial for ensuring the safety and reliability of airports and air transport operations. The aim of the article was to present a new method for predicting cyber-attacks in air transport based on neural networks. The task of the neural network was to determine the multiple regression function based on which the probability of a cyberattack occurring at a specified hour and on a specific day of the week is predicted. The probability, depending on the time of the cyberattack occurrence, was determined using theoretical distributions. The method was verified with real data. Verification of the method confirmed its high effectiveness, determined at the level of 92%. The study examined the effectiveness of using the classical multiple regression method in predicting cyber-attacks in air transport. The classical multiple regression model covered only 0.14 of the input data, while the regression model generated by the neural network covered 0.99, indicating the high efficiency of the developed neural network.