RESEARCH PAPER
Remaining useful life prediction of cylinder liner based on nonlinear degradation model
Yongfang Zhang
2,3
1
Xi’an University of Technology, School of Mechanical and Precision Instrument Engineering, Xi’an 710048, PR China
2
Xi’an Jiaotong University, State Key Laboratory for Manufacturing Systems Engineering, Xi’an 710049, PR China
3
Xi’an University of Technology, School of Printing, Packaging Engineering and Digital Media Technology, Xi’an 710054, PR China
Publication date: 2022-03-31
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability 2022;24(1):62–69
HIGHLIGHTS
- A nonlinear degradation model is established to predict the RUL.
- The off-line and on-liner data are used to estimate the unknow parameters adaptively.
- The proposed model has a high evaluation accuracy
KEYWORDS
remaining useful lifecylinder liner wearnonlinear degradationmaximum likelihoodestimationadaptive PDF
ABSTRACT
In order to effectively monitor the wear and predict the life of cylinder liner, a nonlinear degradation model with multi-source uncertainty based on Wiener process is established to evaluate the remaining useful life (RUL) of cylinder liner wear. Due to complex service performance of cylinder liner, the uncertainty of operational environment and working conditions of cylinder liner wear are considered into the model by a random function. The probability density function (PDF) formula of RUL is derived, and the maximum likelihood estimation method is adopted to estimate the unknown parameters of PDF. Considering the evaluated parameters as the initial values, the model parameters are updated adaptively, and an adaptive PDF is obtained. Furthermore, the proposed model is compared with two classical degradation models. The results show that the proposed model has a good performance for predicting the life, and the error is within 5%. The method can provide a reference for condition monitoring of cylinder liner wear.
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