RESEARCH PAPER
A fault tree-based approach for aviation risk analysis considering mental workload overload
1
School of Automation Science and Electrical Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
2
School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
3
Science and Technology on Complex Aviation System Simulation Laboratory, Beijing 100070, China
Publication date: 2021-12-31
Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability 2021;23(4):646-658
HIGHLIGHTS
- A fault tree-based risk analysis method considering MWLOL is developed.
- A MWLOL gate is proposed based on Multiple Resources Model.
- New logic relationships due to MWLOL are added to traditional FT through MWLOL gate.
- The new analysis method obtains more rational results validated by Accident Report.
KEYWORDS
ABSTRACT
Many lives and aircrafts have been lost due to human errors associated with mental workload overload (MWLOL). Human errors are successfully considered in existing Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) methods. However, MWLOL is considered through Performance Shaping Factors indirectly and its information is hidden in FT construction, which is not conducive to analyze the root causes of human errors and risks. To overcome this difficulty, we develop a risk analysis method where Multiple Resources Model (MRM) is incorporated into FTA methods. MRM analyzes mental workload by estimating the resources used during performing concurrent tasks, probably including abnormal situation handling tasks introduced by basic events in FT. Such basic events may cause MWLOL and then trigger corresponding human error events. A MWLOL gate is proposed to describe MWLOL explicitly and add these new relationships to traditional FT. This new method extends previous FTA methods and provides a more in-depth risk analysis. An accident, a helicopter crash in Maryland, is analyzed by the proposed method.
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