ISSN 1507-2711
JOURNAL DOI: dx.doi.org/10.17531/ein

JCR Journal Profile


Członek(Member of): Europejskiej Federacji Narodowych Towarzystw Eksploatacyjnych  - European Federation of National Maintenance Societies  Wydawca(Publisher):Polskie Naukowo-Techniczne Towarzystwo Eksploatacyjne (Warszawa) - Polish Maintenance Society (Warsaw)   Patronat Naukowy(Scientific supervision): Polska Akademia Nauk o/Lublin  - Polish Akademy of Sciences Branch in Lublin  Członek(Member of): Europejskiej Federacji Narodowych Towarzystw Eksploatacyjnych  - European Federation of National Maintenance Societies


 We verify submissions originality with the use of iThenticate plagiarism checker


 All accepted articles are published Open Access under the Creative Commons Licence: CC-BY 4.0

Publisher:
Polish Maintenance Society
(Warsaw)

Scientific supervision:
Polish Academy of Sciences Branch in Lublin

Member of:
European Federation
of National Maintenance Societies


Attention!

In accordance with the requirements of citation databases, proper citation of publications appearing in our Quarterly should include the full name of the journal in Polish and English without Polish diacritical marks, i.e. "Eksploatacja i Niezawodnosc – Maintenance and Reliability".


 

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MOST CITED

Update: 2021-07-01

1. COMPUTER-AIDED MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS FOR CONVEYOR BELTS
By: Mazurkiewicz, Dariusz

EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY
Volume: 16   Issue: 3   Pages: 377-382   Published: 2014

Times Cited: 59
2. ON APPROACHES FOR NON-DIRECT DETERMINATION OF SYSTEM DETERIORATION
By: Valis, David; Koucky, Miroslav; Zak, Libor

EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY
Volume 14, Issue: 1   Pages: 33-41   Published: 2012

Times Cited: 53
3. A NEW FAULT TREE ANALYSIS METHOD: FUZZY DYNAMIC FAULT TREE ANALYSIS
By: Li, Yan-Feng; Huang, Hong-Zhong; Liu, Yu; et al.

EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY
Volume 14, Issue: 3 Pages: 208-214 Published: 2012

Times Cited: 51
4. INNOVATIVE METHODS OF NEURAL RECONSTRUCTION FOR TOMOGRAPHIC IMAGES IN MAINTENANCE OF TANK INDUSTRIAL REACTORS
By: Rymarczyk, Tomasz; Klosowski, Grzegorz

EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY
Volume: 21 Issue: 2 Pages: 261-267 Published: 2019

Times Cited: 50
5. APPLICATION OF NEURAL RECONSTRUCTION OF TOMOGRAPHIC IMAGES IN THE PROBLEM OF RELIABILITY OF FLOOD PROTECTION FACILITIES
By: Rymarczyk, Tomasz; Klosowski, Grzegorz

EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY
Volume: 20 Issue: 3 Pages: 425-434 Published: 2018

Times Cited: 45
6. ASSESSMENT MODEL OF CUTTING TOOL CONDITION FOR REAL-TIME SUPERVISION SYSTEM
By: Kozlowski, Edward; Mazurkiewicz, Dariusz; Zabinski, Tomasz; Prucnal, Slawomir; Sep, Jaroslaw

EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY
Volume: 21 Issue: 4 Pages: 679-685 Published: 2019

Times Cited: 40
7. PREDICTING THE TOOL LIFE IN THE DRY MACHINING OF DUPLEX STAINLESS STEEL
By: Krolczyk, Grzegorz; Gajek, Maksymilian; Legutko, Stanislaw

EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY
Volume: 15 Issue: 1 Pages: 62-65 Published: 2013

Times Cited: 39
8. MAINTENANCE DECISION MAKING BASED ON DIFFERENT TYPES OF DATA FUSION
By: Galar, Diego; Gustafson, Anna; Tormos, Bernardo; et al.
EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY 
Volume 14, Issue: 2   Pages: 135-144   Published:2012

Times Cited: 38
9. TESTS OF EXTENDABILITY AND STRENGTH OF ADHESIVE-SEALED JOINTS IN THE CONTEXT OF DEVELOPING A COMPUTER SYSTEM FOR MONITORING THE CONDITION OF BELT JOINTS DURING CONVEYOR OPERATION
By: Mazurkiewicz, Dariusz

EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY
Issue: 3 Pages: 34-39 Published: 2010

Times Cited: 37
10. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF RECONFIGURABLE MANUFACTURING SYSTEM STRUCTURES USING COMPUTER SIMULATION METHODS
By: Gola, Arkadiusz

EKSPLOATACJA I NIEZAWODNOSC-MAINTENANCE AND RELIABILITY
Volume 21, Issue: 1, Pages: 90-102, Published: 2019

Times Cited: 36

 

 



Task „Implementation of procedures ensuring  the originality of scientific papers published in the quarterly „Eksploatacja i Niezawodność – Maintenance and Reliability” financed under contract 532/P-DUN/2018 from the funds of the Minister of Science and Higher Education for science dissemination activities.


Predicting IoT failures with Bayesian workflow

 

Full text: 

Abstract: 

IoT networks are so voluminous that they cannot be treated as individual devices, but as populations. Main aim of the paper is to create a comprehensive method for predicting failures taking device variance into consideration. We propose using data fusion of happenstance observations (resets and failures) to better estimate device parameters. We propose using methods of population analysis in Bayesian statistics to estimate failure times investigating only a part of the population. For this purpose, we use multilevel hierarchical Bayesian model and provide it with post stratification. We propose model assumptions, construct the model and evaluate it, and perform computations using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. This method is known as the Bayesian workflow. We have analyzed three different models showing that, in case of small device variance, it can be ignored, or at least compensated, while significant differences require hierarchical modeling. We also show that hierarchical model shows significant robustness to a small amount of data. We have shown attractiveness of Bayesian approach to modeling failures of IoT devices. Ability to diagnose and tune models, and assure their computational fidelity is a great advantage of Bayesian workflow.

Pages: 

248–259

 

DOI: 10.17531/ein.2022.2.6

Article citation info: 
Baranowski J. Predicting IoT failures with Bayesian workflow. Eksploatacja i Niezawodnosc – Maintenance and Reliability 2022; 24 (2): 248–259, http://doi.org/10.17531/ein.2022.2.6.

 


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